Factors -the location and root of the conflict

The Palestinian area is a geographical area of West Asia. It is located between the Mediterranean and the Dead Sea and the Jordan River. It is located in the Asian, Africa, and European transportation hubs. It has important strategic significance. The area is 27090 square kilometers. The main residents include Arabs and Jews. The region has a long history. As early as the end of the 13th century BC, the ancient Hebrew tribal people moved into settlement. The 7th century AD became part of the Arab Empire. After the First World War, it was reduced to Britain's appointment rule. At the end of the 19th century, Jews from all over the world immigrated to Palestine. In November 1947, the United Nations Security Council passed a resolution stipulating to establish Arab countries and Jewish countries in Palestine. On May 14, 1948, the Jews announced the establishment of Israel. On November 15, 1988, the Palestinian State was announced in Alzhur, and the boundaries between Israel-Palestine have not yet been determined.

Temple Mountain is a religious sacred place located in the old city of Jerusalem. The sensitivity of Temple Mountain lies in the extraordinary history of Temple Mountain. In less than 14 hectares, there are many religious relics, which are Jewish, Islamic and Christian holy places.

The Templars Mountain is the name of Israel. In 973 BC, Solomon built a large -scale temple on this mountain to worship and sacrifice Jewish church, and save the covenant (two slates engraved with Ten Commandments). In 586 BC, Jerusalem was occupied by the Babylonians and the temple was razed to the ground. In the first century BC, King Herod rebuilt the Temple, but was destroyed by the Romans again in 70 AD. The remaining relics are crying walls located on the southwest side of the Temple Mountain.

After the founding of Israel, right -wingeds hoped to rebuild the Temple, which made Israel-Palestine conflicts more and more. The conflict on the temple mountain highlights the sensitivity of the land in the dispute between Israel-Palestine. In 2000, the Salon inspected the Temple Mountain, which aroused strong indignation in the Islamic world, and the conflict between Israel-Palestine immediately began. The sensitivity lies in the extraordinary history of the Temple Mountain. There are many religious sites here, which are the holy places of Judaism, Islam and Christianity.

For Temple Mountain, Islamic believers call it a holy place. In 628 AD, the Arab Empire seized Jerusalem and built a rock mosque in the northern section of the Jewish Temple. It is said that the Jewish ancestor Abraham worshiped God's stone in the center of the temple. According to the [Gulan], the Islamic Prophet Muhammad has stepped on this stone to return to the world and returns to the world after receiving the inspiration of Allah. This meteorite is regarded as a sacred by Muslims. There is a hundred meters south of Iwan Temple with the Aksa Mosque. It is said that Muhammad came to Jerusalem in this place. In addition, there are many Christian relics on the Temple Mountain.

As a sacred place for three religions, any wind blowing in Temple Mountains has caused a strong response. Its eventually belonging is a difficult problem in Israel-Palestine's peace talks.

In addition to the geographical factors of competing for water and land resources and disputes, the Jews returned to the Palestinian region and were considered by the Arabs to be the historical factors of the invaders. The cultural and religious differences between the people of various nations made the tension between the two countries' relationships. Population problems, since the founding of Israel, the Palestinian people have been displaced and have formed a refugee problem. Israel's military blow and suppression on Palestine also triggered the opponent's resistance. Economic imbalances in the two countries have led to Palestinian often launching terrorist attacks on Israel. Chestan has important strategic value and attracts intervention from Britain and the United States.
 

In October 2023, Israel-Palestine conflicts

On October 7, 2023, the Palestinian Islamic resistance (Hamas) announced that it had adopted military operations code -named "Aksa floods" for Israel and said that it had launched at least 5,000 rockets in Israel. Israel immediately announced that he entered a state of war and launched the actions codenamed "Iron Sword" on the Gaza Strip Hamas. This is Israel after 50 years after the 1973 Atonement Day war. Subsequently, the Islamic Territory (Jehad) of Palestine (Jehad) announced the operation of his armed personnel to join Hamas. On October 11, local time, Israel announced the establishment of Israel's emergency co -government. On the evening of October 17, Arabia Arabic Hospital in Gaza City, Gaza, was attacked.

And this conflict is different from the past: First, Hamas uses all armed forces and means this time, which can be said to be Hamas's "lone bet". Second, more Israelites were captured, and they would receive large constraints. Third, Israel's "defensive mentality" seriously weakened the long -term strategic deterrent of Israel's long -term construction of Israel.
 

Later prediction, the impact on the financial circle

If the Sixth Middle East War broke out, it would not only cause thousands of deaths and injuries, but also caused related obstacles to the Middle East economy. It will also exacerbate the territory and border disputes between the two countries. A large number of Palestinian people will be displaced and exacerbate neighboring countries and countries and countries and and in neighboring countries and countries and countries. Regional instability and international relationships are tense.

Looking back at the five Middle East War that happened in the past, although Israeli was used as the victorist, the Israeli and Palestinian conflict continued for hundreds of years. One is that the conflict between Israel-Palestine brings together all types of interest conflicts in human society; the second is the asymmetric of both parties in the power structure. The Palestinians have no their own army and cannot confront the Israeli National Defense Force. The third is the interests and disputes involved in regional powers. Fourth, the United States has been holding Israel's stance, which has further complicated the conflict between Israel-Palestine, which also increases the difficulty of solution.

As for the current level of Israel-Palestine's conflict, it is less than the level of the Sixth Middle East War. Later, you need to observe whether Israel can destroy Hamas's production base, Hamas has the ability to counterattack, and whether both sides will exchange hostages. There are still uncertainty in the short term.

In the context of Israeli and Palestinian conflicts, international oil prices have increased. At present, there are no major oil -producing countries involved in the conflict between Israel-Palestine. If the major oil production countries will be involved in the conflict in the future, crude oil supply will be affected. In extreme cases, Iran may block the Holmus Strait. This is the case. It will promote the rise in oil prices.

At the same time, when the global economy continues to face uncertainty, the demand for hedging has rebounded, and the global central bank's demand for purchasing funds has maintained a growth trend. The World Gold Association issued a report on October 9 that the Global Central Bank's gold reserves increased by 77 tons in August, an increase of 38%from July. Among them, China, Poland, and Turkish central banks have once again become the main golden buyers. In addition, there was no major selling gold reserve in the central bank that month. Nowadays, under multiple factors, the international gold prices are expected to rise at the end of the year and reached a record high.